SECTIONS

 — Sponsored by Ghost Hunter Apps

 

Scientists predict a new solar cycle is about to begin and that it might be stronger than the last one

A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com), 04/16/2019

Solar Cycles Predicting Mini Ice Age Coming by 2020?  

Based on the number of sunspots that formed, scientists considered the last solar cycle, No. 24, “weak.” They predict that the upcoming cycle, No. 25, may follow suit, but there are a range of views. Some scientists say the latest data point to a stronger cycle.

The solar cycle forecast was made public at the annual Space Weather Workshop last week, hosted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Space Weather Prediction Center.

Lisa Upton, a solar physicist with Space Systems Research Corporation and co-chair of the panel issuing predictions, said Cycle 25 should begin between mid-2019 and late 2020 and that it should reach its maximum between 2023 and 2026, when between 95 and 130 sunspots are projected. Average is between 140 and 220 sunspots.

Cycle 24 peaked in April 2014 with 116 sunspots. Should Cycle 25 actually reach the predicted values, that would stem the trend of the past few cycles that showed a continued decline. The sunspot number for the peak of the next solar cycle (No. 25) is projected to be slightly higher than the last one (No. 24). (NOAA)

Scott McIntosh, a physicist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, says the latest information would suggest solar cycle 25 may actually be stronger than 24. “The present Geomagnetic data indicate a higher SC25 [solar cycle 25],” he tweeted.

The decline in sunspot activity through cycle 24 was worrisome to some space weather scientists in that it suggested a return to a lengthy “solar drought,” reminiscent of the Maunder Minimum period of 1645-1715. Records show the sun was essentially spotless for this lengthy period, coinciding with the “Little Ice Age” in Europe and tickling the interest of scientists to wonder whether there is a cause-and-effect relationship between solar behavior and Earth’s climate.

The prediction panel, in future work, will attempt to better understand the strength, timing and location of sunspot formation across the sun’s hemispheres and the likelihood of solar flares and coronal mass ejections. These are blasts of charged particles off the sun which can disrupt satellite and radio communications, and even power grids in extreme cases.

Frank Hill, a physicist at the National Solar Observatory, detected measurements heralding the start of Cycle 25 about a year ago. The small sample of data available hampers the confidence of prediction, but he estimates Cycle 25 will commence around October.

The prediction of solar cycle behavior is very difficult. “We are not really ‘there’ on the underlying physics of the problem. It’s a bit like pin the tail on the donkey,” McIntosh said.

Solar scientists are most concerned about a major eruption from the sun, which could cause substantial damage to electronic communication systems and power grids. History suggests such extreme events are possible.

During the “Carrington Event” in 1859, for example, the northern lights were seen as far south as Cuba and Hawaii, according to historical accounts. The solar eruption “caused global telegraph lines to spark, setting fire to some telegraph offices,” NASA wrote. A similar event today would have the potential to cause serious damage to satellite communications and power infrastructure.

During weak cycles, such events are less likely but still possible.

“While we are not predicting a particularly active Solar Cycle 25, violent eruptions from the sun can occur at any time,” Doug Biesecker, a solar physicist at NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center, said in a statement.

In any cycle, strong or weak, the strongest solar storms are most likely at the solar maximum, which is projected between 2023 and 2026 in Cycle 25. Pete Riley, a scientist with Predictive Science, said at the recent workshop that the probability of a “Carrington Event” during solar minimum is about 1.4 percent, whereas during solar maximum it balloons to about 28 percent.

The Cycle 25 prediction panel will continue its work and periodically update its forecasts.

Capital Weather Gang’s Jason Samenow contributed to this report.

 
HEADLINES
IN THE NEWS

Why The Bitcoin Flash Crash To $6,400 Isn’t Entirely Bearish
Positive Factors...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

Supervolcano eruption could wipe the USA off the map and kill five billion around the world
READY TO BLOW: Supervolcano eruptions are rare, and occur approximately every 50,000 years, geologis...
— A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com)

Bizarre secret CIA declassified file on lost ancient human civilizations
Recently declassified CIA files shed light on the lost city of Atlantis, ancient Egypt, giant stones...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

Alien base up to 10KM HIGH spotted on Mercury in NASA pictures
UFO hunters scanning the planet Mercury say they have spotted a fantastically tall tower which alien...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

Bitcoin is worth $6,000 for the first time this year
Bitcoin's price has been rising in recent weeks and it's not clear why....
— S.E. Rogue (strangeradiocentral.com)

A Historical Treasure Bordering Ancient Mesopotamia
The first cuneiform tablet discovered in Kunara. ...
— A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com)

MORE NEWS

New Sightings of OGOPOGO Lake Monster in British Columbia
Video captured by two local men...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

China’s astronomers helped capture photo of black hole but couldn’t use world’s biggest telescope to do it
Distance no object, but China’s Fast did not take part in cosmic event because it could not properly...
— Stephen Chen

Was it sent by aliens? The curious case of the giant space rock
Oumuamua is the first interstellar object known to enter our solar system...
— Agence France-Presse

Scientists predict a new solar cycle is about to begin and that it might be stronger than the last one
Solar Cycles Predicting Mini Ice Age Coming by 2020?...
— A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com)

We Are Closer Than Ever to Merging Human Brains With The Cloud
At its core, the brain/cloud interface (B/CI) is likely to be made possible by imminent advances in ...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

Travel through wormholes is possible, but slow
Travel through a wormhole is equivalent to quantum teleportation using entangled black holes...
— A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com)

Victims of 'human sacrifice' found by engineers laying water pipes
Discovered in an almost 3,000-year-old settlement in Britain....
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

Type 2 diabetes: The green vegetable juice proven to regulate blood sugar levels
Specific food and drinks have proven particularly effective....
— A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com)

Afterlife: Man who ‘momentarily DIED asked God meaning of life' – SHOCK response claim
A MAN who says he died on the operating table claimed he had a first-hand experience with God, where...
— Callum Hoare

Honey, I ate the kids: The sweet side of filial cannibalism
As you bite into a chocolate bunny or egg this weekend, consider this: rabbits often eat their own y...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

China turtle death
One of last four known Yangtze giant softshells dies...
— A. Leaf (strangeradiocentral.com)

PayPal Board Member: Bitcoin (BTC) Value May Surge By 250x if it Succeeds
If Bitcoin Succeeds, Its Value May Surge to As High as $1 Million...
— Finn Sawyer (strangeradiocentral.com)

PLEASE SUBSCRIBE AND FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA
SPREAKER |  TWITTER |  FACEBOOK |  SOUNDCLOUD |  YOUTUBE

STRANGERADIOCENTRAL.com
"Quality Internet Radio and Podcast Production."
© Copyright - AO2 IT CORP. - 2019. All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy

 
StrangeRadioCentral.com